tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
MQ 4166 Envoy MIA 17:12 SAV 18:51 20% 6% 1.2% no record
AA 3257 American MIA 22:15 SAV 23:54 25% 8% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 13:44 → SAV 14:50DL 1067 6h 30m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:02DL 1249 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 09:47 → SAV 10:54DL 3054 4h 54m 95% 85%
AmericanDetails → MIA 09:15 → PHL 12:10AA 551 1h 35m Philadelphia PHL 13:45 → SAV 16:01AA 2708 6h 46m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:10 → ATL 14:20DL 1510 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 6h 49m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:37 → ATL 12:45DL 2836 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014 5h 49m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864 1h 47m Newark EWR 11:58 → SAV 14:21UA 1636 7h 14m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → MIA 13:30 → CLT 15:48AA 2297 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA 7h 02m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:12 → ATL 16:16DL 1332 3h 50m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 7h 05m 96% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:10 → ATL 14:20DL 1510 55m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014 4h 16m 70% 59%
AmericanDetails → MIA 16:01 → CLT 18:22AA 985 53m Charlotte CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA 4h 31m 62% 50%
DeltaDetails → MIA 15:30 → LGA 18:56DL 1538 49m New York LGA 19:45 → SAV 22:16DL 5398 · flown by Endeavor 6h 49m 73% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON