Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 2230 JetBlue Flight history →	MKE 11:01	BOS 14:23	20%	8%	0.6%	77%
DL 5614 Delta flown by Republic Flight history →	MKE 14:30	BOS 18:05	24%	7%	0.8%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	1h 45m Chicago	ORD 07:44 → BOS 11:07UA 659	5h 07m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → BOS 12:41DL 855	5h 56m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 12:18 → BOS 14:57DL 1293	7h 07m	98%	84%
American Details →	MKE 06:14 → PHL 09:39AA 5200 · flown by PSA	3h 15m Philadelphia	PHL 12:54 → BOS 14:33AA 3186	7h 19m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 15:57 → MSP 17:23DL 2006	2h 47m Minneapolis	MSP 20:10 → BOS 23:56DL 2614	6h 59m	98%	82%
United Details →	MKE 06:14 → EWR 09:35UA 3470 · flown by Republic	2h 40m Newark	EWR 12:15 → BOS 13:32UA 1669	6h 18m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	MKE 08:10 → LGA 11:28DL 5625 · flown by Republic	2h 33m New York	LGA 14:01 → BOS 15:27DL 5739 · flown by Republic	6h 17m	96%	80%
United Details →	MKE 06:20 → ORD 07:30UA 5896 · flown by SkyWest	1h 53m Chicago	ORD 09:23 → BOS 12:55UA 1367	5h 35m	95%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MKE 12:05 → ORD 13:11UA 4740 · flown by SkyWest	54m Chicago	ORD 14:05 → BOS 17:43UA 1928	4h 38m	63%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON