Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5404 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MKE 07:00	JFK 10:22	16%	10%	7.3%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	MKE 05:08 → ORD 06:21AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest	1h 33m Chicago	ORD 07:54 → JFK 11:23AA 4590 · flown by Republic	5h 15m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:56 → ATL 16:05DL 1151	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2378	7h 33m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	6h 35m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 15:57 → MSP 17:23DL 2006	2h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 20:21 → JFK 23:52DL 2692	6h 55m	99%	80%
American Details →	MKE 07:42 → DCA 11:08AA 5646 · flown by PSA	1h 51m Washington	DCA 12:59 → JFK 14:15AA 4522 · flown by Republic	5h 33m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:20 → ATL 13:24DL 2999	2h 03m Atlanta	ATL 15:27 → JFK 17:56DL 1575	6h 36m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	MKE 13:22 → DTW 15:38DL 5476 · flown by Endeavor	2h 25m Detroit	DTW 18:03 → JFK 20:04DL 1316	5h 42m	90%	74%
American Details →	MKE 07:21 → DFW 10:00AA 2621	3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:11 → JFK 17:56AA 1058	9h 35m	98%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON