Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2716 at 07:00, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2716 Delta Flight history →	MKE 07:00	SLC 09:25	6%	2%	0.4%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 25m	96%	80%
American Details →	MKE 14:42 → PHX 16:30AA 899	2h 11m Phoenix	PHX 18:41 → SLC 21:25AA 4968 · flown by SkyWest	7h 43m	98%	80%
United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 39m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	10h 01m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 00m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:56 → ATL 16:05DL 1151	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 17:55 → SLC 19:56DL 653	8h 00m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:20 → ATL 13:24DL 2999	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	7h 58m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	MKE 15:57 → MSP 17:23DL 2006	47m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → SLC 20:06DL 2607	5h 09m	82%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MKE 10:59 → ORD 11:57UA 5559 · flown by SkyWest	48m Chicago	ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955	5h 23m	73%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON