tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2007 Delta Flight history → MSP 10:16 BDL 13:52 9% 2% 0.6% 84%
DL 2871 Delta Flight history → MSP 20:00 BDL 23:39 12% 3% 0.6% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:45 → BDL 15:37UA 2643 8h 52m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461 1h 44m Detroit DTW 10:31 → BDL 12:15DL 2163 5h 11m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433 2h 53m Detroit DTW 14:35 → BDL 16:18DL 2814 6h 18m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → BDL 15:14DL 2739 7h 14m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MSP 16:09 → DTW 18:54DL 1476 2h 36m Detroit DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989 6h 05m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894 2h 13m Charlotte CLT 12:13 → BDL 14:19AA 2741 7h 00m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → BDL 18:50DL 2735 7h 16m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 3h 19m Chicago ORD 11:03 → BDL 14:24UA 2195 7h 24m 100% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON