Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 12:38, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:38	CHS 16:28	14%	3%	0.8%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → CHS 11:54DL 3107	5h 34m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	6h 27m	100%	82%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	2h 27m Charlotte	CLT 12:27 → CHS 13:48AA 5222 · flown by PSA	6h 29m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 02m New York	JFK 13:41 → CHS 16:10DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor	8h 15m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:43DL 2179	5h 43m	98%	81%
United Details →	MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460	2h 11m Houston	IAH 12:41 → CHS 16:25UA 6295 · flown by Mesa	7h 50m	98%	79%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 07m Chicago	ORD 10:51 → CHS 14:09UA 2631	7h 09m	99%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON