Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 1392 at 19:50, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1392 Delta Flight history →	MSP 19:50	CLE 22:41	12%	4%	0.5%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 47m Denver	DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619	7h 51m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 11:49 → CLE 13:35DL 775	7h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545	7h 29m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:05 → BOS 13:51DL 2655	2h 14m Boston	BOS 16:05 → CLE 18:20DL 5655 · flown by Republic	7h 15m	98%	84%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	2h 45m Chicago	ORD 10:29 → CLE 12:58UA 2389	5h 58m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 14:30 → SLC 16:21DL 2658	1h 04m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → CLE 22:58DL 2855	7h 28m	92%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → CLE 19:35DL 2750	5h 50m	94%	76%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → CLE 00:49 +1DL 1320	6h 31m	97%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MSP 18:58 → ORD 20:26UA 1237	54m Chicago	ORD 21:20 → CLE 23:49UA 457	3h 51m	60%	44%
United Details →	MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531	47m Chicago	ORD 17:45 → CLE 20:13UA 2652	3h 57m	62%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON