tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 954 Delta Flight history → MSP 07:14 CVG 10:03 6% 2% 0.4% 89%
DL 1469 Delta Flight history → MSP 20:20 CVG 23:11 9% 3% 0.4% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → CVG 15:12DL 3169 7h 12m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 7h 15m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → CVG 12:38DL 3149 6h 18m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 17:34 → CVG 19:03DL 1858 7h 29m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 6h 21m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433 2h 18m Detroit DTW 14:00 → CVG 15:16DL 5446 · flown by Endeavor 5h 16m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → MSP 14:30 → SLC 16:21DL 2658 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → CVG 22:46DL 2291 7h 16m 92% 80%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894 1h 08m Charlotte CLT 11:08 → CVG 12:39AA 1533 5h 20m 92% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MSP 18:58 → ORD 20:26UA 1237 57m Chicago ORD 21:23 → CVG 23:36UA 1223 3h 38m 64% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON