Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2437 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:19	GEG 13:21	9%	2%	0.5%	89%
DL 2418 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:15	GEG 19:25	13%	4%	0.5%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	MSP 06:03 → SEA 07:58AS 387	1h 57m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	6h 57m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110	4h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 29m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	1h 31m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 02m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:10 → LAX 20:05DL 2122	1h 20m Los Angeles	LAX 21:25 → GEG 00:02 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	7h 52m	93%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	3h 36m Seattle	SEA 14:35 → GEG 15:47DL 4145 · flown by SkyWest	8h 42m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	5h 39m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:10 → SEA 13:00DL 889	2h 45m Seattle	SEA 15:45 → GEG 17:00DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	7h 50m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	48m Atlanta	ATL 09:42 → GEG 11:40DL 814	8h 20m	91%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON