Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 762 at 18:25, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 762 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:25	PSC 19:45	17%	5%	0.5%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:55 → PSC 11:44DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	5h 34m	93%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:10 → SLC 20:06DL 2607	1h 24m Salt Lake City	SLC 21:30 → PSC 22:10DL 1712	6h 00m	95%	82%
Alaska Details →	MSP 06:03 → SEA 07:58AS 387	54m Seattle	SEA 08:52 → PSC 09:53AS 2195 · flown by Horizon	5h 50m	89%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	2h 41m Seattle	SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	7h 49m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:55 → SEA 20:48DL 881	1h 57m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 58m	94%	71%
American Details →	MSP 14:44 → PHX 16:10AA 408	1h 03m Phoenix	PHX 17:13 → PSC 19:59AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest	7h 15m	82%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON