tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2667 Delta Flight history → MSP 08:53 SAT 11:46 8% 2% 0.5% 81%
DL 2773 Delta Flight history → MSP 18:35 SAT 21:26 15% 6% 0.6% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 2h 42m Denver DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625 6h 58m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461 3h 03m Detroit DTW 11:50 → SAT 13:59DL 2458 7h 55m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 8h 18m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 3h 23m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 50m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 3h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → SAT 21:08DL 2797 8h 39m 100% 82%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 1h 41m Chicago ORD 09:25 → SAT 12:29UA 490 6h 29m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → SAT 16:05DL 2009 7h 39m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 16:59 → SAT 18:29DL 1465 7h 55m 99% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON