Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 12:45, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:45	SAV 16:28	9%	3%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 59m Denver	DEN 09:52 → SAV 15:18UA 361	8h 33m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → SAV 14:50DL 1067	6h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014	7h 00m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	7h 25m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	53m Atlanta	ATL 09:47 → SAV 10:54DL 3054	4h 34m	93%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	7h 32m	99%	80%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 26m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → SAV 14:21UA 1612	7h 21m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 35m	96%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON