Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2462 at 10:35, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2462 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:35	VPS 13:13	9%	3%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → VPS 10:29DL 2048	5h 09m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 14:00 → VPS 14:11DL 2832	5h 45m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803	5h 57m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:34 → ATL 14:06DL 1046	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 15:49 → VPS 16:05DL 2170	5h 31m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	1h 44m Atlanta	ATL 22:50 → VPS 23:03DL 3097	5h 45m	97%	79%
American Details →	MSP 06:00 → DFW 08:39AA 1395	51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → VPS 11:28AA 2460	5h 28m	87%	64%
American Details →	MSP 10:19 → DFW 12:50AA 2220	3h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:37 → VPS 18:38AA 2673	8h 19m	98%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON