Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 2072 at 07:07, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2072 Southwest	MSY 07:07	MCI 09:20	5%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSY 07:00 → IAH 08:19UA 2124	3h 46m Houston	IAH 12:05 → MCI 14:15UA 6152 · flown by Mesa	7h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:51DL 1547	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:12DL 2747	6h 52m	99%	84%
United Details →	MSY 08:04 → DEN 10:05UA 1376	3h 35m Denver	DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586	8h 18m	100%	83%
United Details →	MSY 12:09 → IAD 15:43UA 2497	2h 20m Dulles	IAD 18:03 → MCI 19:51UA 1165	7h 42m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MSY 10:55 → ATL 13:27DL 1424	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 15:19 → MCI 16:29DL 1660	5h 34m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	MSY 16:30 → MSP 19:15DL 2695	1h 15m Minneapolis	MSP 20:30 → MCI 21:59DL 1657	5h 29m	92%	78%
Delta Details →	MSY 15:22 → ATL 18:01DL 3157	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 20:38 → MCI 21:54DL 3023	6h 32m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	MSY 13:30 → SLC 16:01DL 736	1h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:13 → MCI 20:38DL 2903	7h 08m	94%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MSY 17:11 → ATL 19:46DL 3146	52m Atlanta	ATL 20:38 → MCI 21:54DL 3023	4h 43m	64%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON