Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2695 at 16:30, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2695 Delta Flight history →	MSY 16:30	MSP 19:15	13%	4%	0.9%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSY 08:04 → DEN 10:05UA 1376	3h 45m Denver	DEN 13:50 → MSP 16:54UA 732	8h 50m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSY 07:00 → ATL 09:32DL 1534	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 50m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:51DL 1547	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	6h 11m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MSY 08:30 → ATL 10:58DL 2522	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	7h 37m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MSY 13:30 → SLC 16:01DL 736	1h 24m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → MSP 20:58DL 2935	7h 28m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	6h 33m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	MSY 08:03 → LAX 10:00DL 2085	1h 15m Los Angeles	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	8h 47m	91%	77%
Delta Details →	MSY 17:11 → ATL 19:46DL 3146	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 28m	93%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON