Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 736 at 13:30, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 736 Delta Flight history →	MSY 13:30	SLC 16:01	9%	3%	0.5%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind New Orleans). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:51DL 1547	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 50m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSY 08:03 → LAX 10:00DL 2085	3h 10m Los Angeles	LAX 13:10 → SLC 16:03DL 1647	9h 00m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	MSY 07:00 → ATL 09:32DL 1534	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 50m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	MSY 08:30 → ATL 10:58DL 2522	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	8h 21m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	MSY 11:22 → DTW 14:51DL 2790	2h 49m Detroit	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	9h 12m	98%	81%
United Details →	MSY 08:04 → DEN 10:05UA 1376	3h 45m Denver	DEN 13:50 → SLC 15:23UA 1840	8h 19m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:55 → SLC 19:56DL 653	8h 14m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	MSY 10:20 → JFK 14:31DL 1322	2h 25m New York	JFK 16:56 → SLC 20:26DL 887	11h 06m	98%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON