tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1094 Southwest MYR 10:20 BNA 11:13 7% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2599 Southwest MYR 13:05 BNA 14:03 12% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 30m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 30m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 06m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → BNA 15:36DL 3142 4h 59m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296 1h 29m Charlotte CLT 10:40 → BNA 11:09AA 1295 4h 00m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 20:23 → BNA 20:34DL 3002 5h 44m 96% 76%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 2h 47m Philadelphia PHL 15:55 → BNA 17:05AA 1280 6h 46m 96% 74%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943 3h 18m Charlotte CLT 22:05 → BNA 22:32AA 1644 5h 55m 90% 70%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 2h 44m Charlotte CLT 17:01 → BNA 17:33AA 519 5h 32m 100% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 56m Philadelphia PHL 21:30 → BNA 22:46AA 2277 5h 01m 74% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON