Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 3087 at 14:55, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 3087 Delta Flight history →	MYR 14:55	BOS 17:13	18%	6%	1.0%	92%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162	2h 47m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862	6h 47m	97%	83%
American Details →	MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296	3h 17m Charlotte	CLT 12:28 → BOS 14:57AA 1140	6h 48m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → BOS 18:00DL 2595	6h 23m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 19:56 → BOS 22:35DL 457	6h 45m	95%	72%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	48m Detroit	DTW 14:19 → BOS 16:26DL 1171	4h 52m	85%	67%
American Details →	MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943	1h 20m Charlotte	CLT 20:07 → BOS 22:31AA 1843	4h 54m	80%	60%
American Details →	MYR 12:11 → CLT 13:17AA 2431	1h 08m Charlotte	CLT 14:25 → BOS 16:54AA 901	4h 43m	76%	57%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON