tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Cleveland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → CLE 13:35DL 775 6h 35m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296 1h 46m Charlotte CLT 10:57 → CLE 12:35AA 848 4h 26m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 20:40 → CLE 22:30DL 1339 6h 40m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → MYR 19:23 → CLT 20:29AA 1417 2h 21m Charlotte CLT 22:50 → CLE 00:29 +1AA 2260 5h 06m 92% 70%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047 46m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545 3h 52m 80% 68%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 2h 01m Philadelphia PHL 17:15 → CLE 19:06AA 5862 · flown by Piedmont 5h 39m 89% 65%
AmericanDetails → MYR 12:11 → CLT 13:17AA 2431 1h 01m Charlotte CLT 14:18 → CLE 15:54AA 1244 3h 43m 77% 58%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943 1h 28m Charlotte CLT 20:15 → CLE 21:52AA 3146 4h 15m 80% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON