tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Hebron on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → CVG 12:38DL 3149 5h 38m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 04m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296 1h 57m Charlotte CLT 11:08 → CVG 12:39AA 1533 4h 30m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 20:31 → CVG 21:59DL 2248 6h 09m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 2h 02m Charlotte CLT 16:19 → CVG 17:55AA 5293 · flown by PSA 4h 54m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 3h 01m Detroit DTW 16:32 → CVG 17:49DL 5060 · flown by Endeavor 6h 15m 98% 73%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943 3h 42m Charlotte CLT 22:29 → CVG 23:56AA 626 6h 19m 95% 72%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON