Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 17:00, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


OH 5653 PSA	MYR 17:00	DFW 19:10	19%	9%	1.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → DFW 12:37DL 414	6h 37m	98%	79%
American Details →	MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296	3h 56m Charlotte	CLT 13:07 → DFW 14:49AA 1690	7h 40m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 16:13 → DFW 17:32DL 374	6h 55m	99%	75%
American Details →	MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	3h 14m Philadelphia	PHL 16:22 → DFW 19:09AA 2356	8h 50m	99%	70%
American Details →	MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	2h 45m Charlotte	CLT 17:02 → DFW 18:53AA 3209	6h 52m	100%	65%
American Details →	MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont	2h 35m Philadelphia	PHL 17:49 → DFW 20:27AA 2533	8h 00m	96%	62%
Delta Details →	MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → DFW 21:35DL 3161	6h 45m	96%	58%
American Details →	MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943	3h 03m Charlotte	CLT 21:50 → DFW 23:39AA 1256	7h 02m	90%	58%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON