tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 07:00 → ATL 08:23DL 3162 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 7h 50m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → MYR 08:09 → CLT 09:11AA 3296 3h 26m Charlotte CLT 12:37 → MSP 14:23AA 1671 7h 14m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:37 → ATL 12:59DL 3047 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825 5h 30m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 49m Detroit DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 6h 38m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → MYR 15:50 → ATL 17:15DL 3182 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 19:06 → MSP 20:46DL 2654 5h 56m 94% 77%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:37 → CLT 18:47AA 2943 1h 33m Charlotte CLT 20:20 → MSP 21:59AA 2176 5h 22m 83% 60%
UnitedDetails → MYR 18:46 → EWR 20:55UA 3714 · flown by Republic 1h 00m Newark EWR 21:55 → MSP 23:59UA 1331 6h 13m 77% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON