tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3226 Southwest OKC 07:21 BNA 09:10 6% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 2665 Southwest OKC 12:51 BNA 14:48 14% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 3h 04m Minneapolis MSP 13:02 → BNA 15:10DL 2101 7h 25m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 41m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Denver DEN 09:42 → BNA 13:25UA 355 7h 20m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → OKC 08:50 → ATL 12:02DL 1158 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → BNA 15:36DL 3142 6h 46m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → OKC 13:53 → IAH 15:35UA 5531 · flown by SkyWest 2h 45m Houston IAH 18:20 → BNA 20:34UA 6123 · flown by Mesa 6h 41m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → OKC 16:00 → ATL 19:16DL 2862 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → BNA 22:58DL 3121 6h 58m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 1h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:26 → BNA 09:29AA 1103 4h 28m 95% 75%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:35 → ORD 09:58AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 1h 25m Chicago ORD 11:23 → BNA 13:02AA 2362 5h 27m 96% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → OKC 12:11 → HOU 13:47WN 4760 46m Houston HOU 14:33 → BNA 16:43WN 4637 4h 32m 72% 59%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:39 → IAH 11:15UA 6255 · flown by Mesa 47m Houston IAH 12:02 → BNA 14:12UA 1318 4h 33m 69% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON