Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2273 American Flight history →	OKC 09:29	CLT 13:08	14%	5%	1.0%	90%
AA 1626 American Flight history →	OKC 13:49	CLT 17:27	22%	8%	2.4%	89%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 42m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest	2h 57m Minneapolis	MSP 12:55 → CLT 16:27DL 2819	7h 42m	100%	84%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Denver	DEN 09:53 → CLT 15:17UA 2231	8h 12m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	OKC 16:00 → ATL 19:16DL 2862	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	6h 58m	98%	80%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	2h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:30 → CLT 12:12AA 2168	6h 11m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	OKC 11:54 → ATL 15:04DL 2490	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:07DL 2132	7h 13m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	OKC 08:50 → ATL 12:02DL 1158	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031	6h 27m	98%	74%
American Details →	OKC 07:35 → ORD 09:58AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Chicago	ORD 11:50 → CLT 14:54AA 3021	6h 19m	98%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	OKC 13:42 → ORD 15:59AA 6395 · flown by SkyWest	49m Chicago	ORD 16:48 → CLT 19:43AA 3188	5h 01m	75%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON