tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 224 Southwest OKC 04:57 MDW 06:51 6% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 3240 Southwest OKC 13:11 MDW 15:20 9% 3% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 08:50 → ATL 12:02DL 1158 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:29 → MDW 15:30DL 1728 6h 40m 98% 82%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 12:11 → HOU 13:47WN 4760 3h 41m Houston HOU 17:28 → MDW 20:05WN 1339 7h 54m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → OKC 16:00 → ATL 19:16DL 2862 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → MDW 22:15DL 1076 6h 15m 94% 75%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 1h 32m Minneapolis MSP 11:30 → MDW 13:09DL 4820 · flown by Endeavor 5h 24m 98% 58%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:57 → MSP 14:03DL 5142 · flown by Endeavor 2h 35m Minneapolis MSP 16:38 → MDW 18:18DL 4714 · flown by Endeavor 6h 20m 96% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON