Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4029 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 08:26	SLC 10:07	6%	4%	0.6%	93%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 17:56	SLC 19:30	11%	6%	0.8%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest	2h 31m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	7h 34m	99%	92%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	57m Denver	DEN 07:55 → SLC 09:24UA 497	4h 19m	93%	84%
Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 21m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	OKC 08:50 → ATL 12:02DL 1158	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	8h 01m	97%	80%
United Details →	OKC 08:54 → DEN 09:35UA 2609	2h 10m Denver	DEN 11:45 → SLC 13:18UA 1963	5h 24m	99%	79%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	2h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:52 → SLC 10:50AA 1878	6h 49m	98%	73%
Frontier Details →	OKC 19:16 → DEN 20:07F9 1927	2h 06m Denver	DEN 22:13 → SLC 23:44F9 4251	5h 28m	91%	71%
United Details →	OKC 08:45 → ORD 11:11UA 5823 · flown by SkyWest	1h 34m Chicago	ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955	7h 37m	94%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON