tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1552 Southwest OMA 07:25 BNA 09:23 4% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1294 Southwest OMA 12:35 BNA 14:33 10% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest 3h 32m Minneapolis MSP 13:02 → BNA 15:10DL 2101 7h 05m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:41DL 1136 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 05m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 2h 53m Denver DEN 09:42 → BNA 13:25UA 355 7h 25m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 6h 38m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → OMA 07:50 → ATL 11:02DL 1157 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 6h 13m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:28 → DTW 13:30DL 4055 · flown by SkyWest 2h 31m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 12m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → OMA 06:20 → CLT 09:58AA 1042 2h 14m Charlotte CLT 12:12 → BNA 12:39AA 2409 6h 19m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 25m Houston IAH 12:02 → BNA 14:12UA 1318 7h 57m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON