Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–4% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3874 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 08:10	SLC 09:52	3%	3%	0.4%	93%
DL 3815 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 13:30	SLC 15:10	4%	3%	0.4%	93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest	2h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	7h 14m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest	49m Minneapolis	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	4h 59m	93%	87%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	1h 06m Denver	DEN 07:55 → SLC 09:24UA 497	4h 24m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:41DL 1136	1h 29m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 45m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	2h 52m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 46m	97%	81%
United Details →	OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838	3h 55m Denver	DEN 13:50 → SLC 15:23UA 1840	7h 17m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	OMA 07:50 → ATL 11:02DL 1157	54m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 00m	91%	76%
United Details →	OMA 14:58 → IAH 17:25UA 6259 · flown by Mesa	3h 00m Houston	IAH 20:25 → SLC 22:43UA 2157	8h 45m	97%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON