tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3258 Southwest OMA 08:05 STL 09:30 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1675 Southwest OMA 14:50 STL 16:15 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 07:50 → ATL 11:02DL 1157 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → STL 14:27DL 2700 6h 37m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:35 → STL 12:42UA 652 6h 42m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:41DL 1136 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 11:52 → STL 12:30DL 566 7h 05m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 19m Houston IAH 11:56 → STL 14:17UA 2042 8h 02m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 30m Denver DEN 13:25 → STL 16:33UA 1639 7h 27m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → OMA 13:30 → SLC 15:10DL 3815 · flown by SkyWest 2h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → STL 21:00DL 2666 7h 30m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → OMA 06:20 → CLT 09:58AA 1042 2h 15m Charlotte CLT 12:13 → STL 13:10AA 3096 6h 50m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → OMA 15:55 → ATL 19:12DL 2364 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 22:39 → STL 23:20DL 1403 7h 25m 99% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → OMA 15:19 → ORD 17:05UA 739 50m Chicago ORD 17:55 → STL 19:23UA 4412 · flown by GoJet 4h 04m 67% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON