Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 409 Delta ONT 07:05 ATL 14:12 9% 2% 0.8% no record
DL 665 Delta Flight history → ONT 12:00 ATL 19:29 13% 4% 2.0% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → ONT 06:00 → SLC 08:48DL 2708 1h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 6h 39m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → ONT 18:01 → SEA 20:50DL 4031 · flown by SkyWest 2h 17m Seattle SEA 23:07 → ATL 07:03 +1DL 567 10h 02m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → ONT 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 2446 1h 57m Denver DEN 10:17 → ATL 15:23UA 2806 7h 23m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → ONT 06:20 → SEA 09:15DL 3816 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Seattle SEA 11:59 → ATL 20:04DL 554 10h 44m 98% 72%
UnitedDetails → ONT 06:49 → ORD 12:53UA 2226 1h 02m Chicago ORD 13:55 → ATL 17:10UA 356 7h 21m 90% 70%
AmericanDetails → ONT 05:34 → DFW 10:41AA 1412 2h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:25 → ATL 16:43AA 2398 8h 09m 98% 66%
AmericanDetails → ONT 08:24 → DFW 13:36AA 2893 2h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:06 → ATL 19:26AA 2403 8h 02m 95% 55%
AmericanDetails → ONT 13:03 → PHX 14:31AA 2661 1h 40m Phoenix PHX 16:11 → ATL 22:50AA 2391 6h 47m 90% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON