Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–26% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OO 4672 SkyWest	ORD 09:25	GEG 11:29	22%	6%	1.0%	no record
AA 677 American Flight history →	ORD 11:10	GEG 13:29	26%	7%	0.8%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ORD 06:00 → DEN 07:41UA 2806	3h 34m Denver	DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295	8h 37m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	ORD 12:46 → MSP 14:29DL 1567	3h 46m Minneapolis	MSP 18:15 → GEG 19:25DL 2418	8h 39m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	ORD 05:30 → ATL 08:29DL 1264	1h 13m Atlanta	ATL 09:42 → GEG 11:40DL 814	8h 10m	94%	81%
Alaska Details →	ORD 08:02 → SEA 10:37AS 587	3h 45m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	9h 23m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	ORD 09:28 → LAX 11:42DL 1556	1h 18m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	8h 07m	90%	78%
Delta Details →	ORD 07:45 → SLC 10:15DL 2231	1h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 27m	89%	77%
Alaska Details →	ORD 14:45 → SAN 16:57AS 1447	3h 25m San Diego	SAN 20:22 → GEG 23:07AS 566	10h 22m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	ORD 13:00 → SEA 15:44DL 1564	2h 15m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	95%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	ORD 16:12 → DEN 18:13UA 2769	52m Denver	DEN 19:05 → GEG 20:30UA 778	6h 18m	64%	51%
Alaska Details →	ORD 08:02 → SEA 10:37AS 587	1h 04m Seattle	SEA 11:41 → GEG 12:46AS 454	6h 44m	69%	46%
American Details →	ORD 15:02 → DFW 17:38AA 2429	1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:39 → GEG 20:34AA 2757	7h 32m	61%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON