tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 1487 Alaska PDX 06:59 BUR 09:17 9% 2% 1.1% no record
AS 1386 Alaska Flight history → PDX 14:55 BUR 17:13 15% 3% 0.9% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 09m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:31 → SLC 12:20DL 1203 2h 45m Salt Lake City SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 6h 41m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:15 → SFO 07:01UA 1896 1h 44m San Francisco SFO 08:45 → BUR 10:09UA 2363 4h 54m 99% 88%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 07:00 → BOI 09:19AS 2161 · flown by Horizon 1h 01m Boise BOI 10:20 → BUR 11:40AS 3415 · flown by SkyWest 4h 40m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 2h 44m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 48m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → PDX 13:04 → SFO 15:10UA 751 3h 26m San Francisco SFO 18:36 → BUR 19:58UA 2001 6h 54m 98% 79%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 13:48 → SEA 14:43AS 2205 · flown by Horizon 2h 13m Seattle SEA 16:56 → BUR 19:26AS 530 5h 38m 100% 76%
UnitedDetails → PDX 12:50 → DEN 16:28UA 1411 2h 42m Denver DEN 19:10 → BUR 20:40UA 8140 7h 50m 98% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PDX 14:07 → DFW 19:56AA 2496 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597 7h 51m 60% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON