tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3022 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PDX 17:36 PSP 20:14 18% 7% 0.9% 68%
AS 1323 Alaska PDX 10:32 PSP 12:50 18% 4% 1.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 5h 56m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:31 → SLC 12:20DL 1203 3h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 15:45 → PSP 16:38DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 7h 07m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:15 → SFO 07:01UA 1896 1h 32m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → PSP 10:15UA 717 5h 00m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 2h 47m Denver DEN 11:18 → PSP 12:38UA 687 7h 38m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → PDX 07:00 → SFO 08:56UA 2818 3h 47m San Francisco SFO 12:43 → PSP 14:26UA 342 7h 26m 99% 81%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 14:49 → SFO 16:40AS 236 3h 39m San Francisco SFO 20:19 → PSP 21:57AS 3356 · flown by SkyWest 7h 08m 99% 79%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 05:00 → SEA 05:53AS 2431 · flown by Horizon 1h 45m Seattle SEA 07:38 → PSP 10:15AS 610 5h 15m 96% 78%
UnitedDetails → PDX 12:50 → DEN 16:28UA 1411 2h 46m Denver DEN 19:14 → PSP 20:28UA 2644 7h 38m 98% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → PDX 12:32 → SEA 13:34AS 3038 · flown by SkyWest 51m Seattle SEA 14:25 → PSP 17:01AS 322 4h 29m 67% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON