Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:10, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Omaha on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OH 5339 PSA	PHL 11:05	OMA 13:29	10%	4%	0.8%	no record
AA 5545 American flown by PSA Flight history →	PHL 18:07	OMA 20:23	14%	6%	0.9%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PHL 05:59 → MSP 07:54DL 2679	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 11:45 → OMA 13:11DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest	8h 12m	99%	90%
United Details →	PHL 06:11 → IAH 08:51UA 584	3h 04m Houston	IAH 11:55 → OMA 14:11UA 6188 · flown by Mesa	9h 00m	100%	88%
United Details →	PHL 06:00 → ORD 07:30UA 660	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 08:40 → OMA 10:27UA 1778	5h 27m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	PHL 06:00 → ATL 08:03DL 1269	1h 22m Atlanta	ATL 09:25 → OMA 10:43DL 1125	5h 43m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	PHL 11:16 → ATL 13:22DL 2270	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707	8h 26m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	PHL 09:00 → ATL 11:05DL 1180	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364	7h 08m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	PHL 06:10 → DTW 07:48DL 1540	47m Detroit	DTW 08:35 → OMA 09:48DL 4055 · flown by SkyWest	4h 38m	93%	84%
United Details →	PHL 16:14 → DEN 18:22UA 2644	2h 43m Denver	DEN 21:05 → OMA 23:43UA 1787	8h 29m	97%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON