tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 2918 at 13:43, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2918 Southwest PIT 13:43 RSW 16:25 14% 6% 1.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 57m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 4h 47m 95% 80%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:46 → ORD 07:19UA 1803 2h 01m Chicago ORD 09:20 → RSW 13:15UA 1036 6h 29m 96% 80%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:26 → EWR 08:42UA 3513 · flown by Republic 3h 20m Newark EWR 12:02 → RSW 15:16UA 1810 7h 50m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → PIT 10:14 → DTW 11:26DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor 3h 02m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 7h 08m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → PIT 13:00 → IAH 15:17UA 4033 · flown by Mesa 3h 14m Houston IAH 18:31 → RSW 22:11UA 2095 9h 11m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 13m Houston IAH 09:31 → RSW 13:08UA 494 6h 53m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:59 → ATL 09:47DL 1383 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 11:49 → RSW 13:36DL 1153 5h 37m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:22 → ATL 13:05DL 1363 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 5h 22m 98% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → PIT 13:41 → BOS 15:33B6 386 49m Boston BOS 16:22 → RSW 19:53B6 2065 6h 12m 70% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON