Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: AA 2425 at 06:01 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2425 American Flight history →	PSP 06:01	DFW 11:02	9%	5%	1.1%	93%
AA 2548 American Flight history →	PSP 12:41	DFW 17:48	27%	12%	1.6%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSP 05:09 → DEN 08:29UA 1010	1h 08m Denver	DEN 09:37 → DFW 12:40UA 1350	5h 31m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	5h 24m	94%	81%
United Details →	PSP 09:29 → SFO 11:28UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest	2h 52m San Francisco	SFO 14:20 → DFW 20:00UA 775	8h 31m	97%	67%
United Details →	PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:42UA 1843	2h 08m Denver	DEN 18:50 → DFW 21:56UA 1565	6h 26m	96%	64%
Alaska Details →	PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest	1h 33m Seattle	SEA 12:13 → DFW 18:21AS 549	8h 37m	93%	64%
Delta Details →	PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	2h 29m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	7h 00m	95%	63%
United Details →	PSP 09:31 → DEN 13:08UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest	47m Denver	DEN 13:55 → DFW 17:01UA 578	5h 30m	82%	62%
United Details →	PSP 13:28 → SFO 15:18UA 1430	1h 40m San Francisco	SFO 16:58 → DFW 22:35UA 1336	7h 07m	88%	61%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON