tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3370 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:16 PDX 09:48 9% 5% 1.3% 94%
AS 1323 Alaska PSP 14:04 PDX 16:25 12% 4% 1.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 04m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:09 → DEN 08:29UA 1010 2h 47m Denver DEN 11:16 → PDX 12:58UA 644 7h 49m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → PSP 17:45 → SLC 20:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 21:45 → PDX 22:38DL 1373 4h 53m 95% 83%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:31 → DEN 13:08UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Denver DEN 16:00 → PDX 17:46UA 1337 8h 15m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:42UA 1843 2h 48m Denver DEN 19:30 → PDX 21:15UA 498 7h 45m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:28 → SFO 15:18UA 1430 3h 38m San Francisco SFO 18:56 → PDX 20:43UA 1227 7h 15m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → PSP 12:55 → PHX 14:20AA 1884 3h 27m Phoenix PHX 17:47 → PDX 20:39AA 1625 7h 44m 97% 73%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest 1h 34m Seattle SEA 12:14 → PDX 13:08AS 488 5h 24m 93% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → PSP 09:09 → SFO 10:52AS 3497 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m San Francisco SFO 11:57 → PDX 13:44AS 235 4h 35m 74% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON