tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2001 Delta RSW 12:25 DTW 15:19 11% 4% 12.0% no record
DL 2559 Delta Flight history → RSW 17:49 DTW 20:45 16% 6% 4.1% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:53 → EWR 11:53UA 2477 1h 29m Newark EWR 13:22 → DTW 15:25UA 3437 · flown by Republic 6h 32m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → RSW 14:32 → MSP 17:04DL 2400 2h 42m Minneapolis MSP 19:46 → DTW 22:32DL 1484 8h 00m 94% 77%
DeltaDetails → RSW 14:46 → ATL 16:38DL 1153 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → DTW 22:31DL 1232 7h 45m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:00 → ATL 07:44DL 1385 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 56m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:30 → ATL 10:16DL 1395 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 14:10 → DTW 16:06DL 1031 7h 36m 99% 76%
DeltaDetails → RSW 11:49 → JFK 14:47DL 2320 2h 03m New York JFK 16:50 → DTW 18:47DL 2443 6h 58m 97% 73%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:52 → ATL 12:35DL 1089 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:28DL 1005 6h 36m 98% 71%
AmericanDetails → RSW 06:01 → ORD 08:23AA 2613 1h 36m Chicago ORD 09:59 → DTW 12:29AA 3977 · flown by Envoy 6h 28m 91% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → RSW 17:55 → PHL 20:52AA 1866 51m Philadelphia PHL 21:43 → DTW 23:35AA 5418 · flown by PSA 5h 40m 74% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON