Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1552 at 10:33, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 10:33	HPN 13:30	11%	7%	13.7%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 07:15 → ATL 09:00DL 1361	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:40DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 25m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	RSW 14:46 → ATL 16:38DL 1153	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 39m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:00 → ATL 07:44DL 1385	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 09:36 → HPN 12:04DL 2973	6h 04m	94%	73%
American Details →	RSW 11:47 → DCA 14:34AA 2916	2h 25m Washington	DCA 16:59 → HPN 18:27AA 5236 · flown by PSA	6h 40m	97%	71%
American Details →	RSW 08:53 → CLT 10:54AA 2241	3h 55m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	8h 03m	94%	71%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:52 → ATL 12:35DL 1089	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → HPN 18:11DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 19m	98%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON