Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 379 at 14:24, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	RSW 14:24	LGA 17:18	25%	12%	5.2%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 14:32 → MSP 17:04DL 2400	2h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 20:00 → LGA 23:44DL 2733	9h 12m	94%	79%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:23 → ATL 07:18DL 1385	1h 12m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	5h 18m	94%	76%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:46 → ATL 08:35DL 1361	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	8h 04m	99%	75%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:30 → ATL 10:16DL 1395	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	7h 20m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	RSW 17:49 → DTW 20:45DL 2559	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603	5h 51m	87%	71%
Delta Details →	RSW 14:47 → ATL 16:39DL 1153	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 19:32 → LGA 21:47DL 468	7h 00m	99%	69%
Delta Details →	RSW 11:51 → ATL 13:41DL 1089	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:26 → LGA 19:38DL 997	7h 47m	99%	67%
United Details →	RSW 11:59 → IAD 14:30UA 2054	2h 52m Dulles	IAD 17:22 → LGA 18:52UA 4041 · flown by Mesa	6h 53m	100%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	RSW 14:47 → ATL 16:39DL 1153	47m Atlanta	ATL 17:26 → LGA 19:38DL 997	4h 51m	72%	53%
American Details →	RSW 11:55 → ORD 14:10AA 2437	1h 03m Chicago	ORD 15:13 → LGA 18:39AA 866	6h 44m	73%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON