tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 09:46, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Colorado Springs on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177 3h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 49m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 3h 18m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 6h 47m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 1h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 4h 40m 84% 79%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 2h 59m Denver DEN 19:05 → COS 20:01UA 4793 · flown by SkyWest 6h 28m 96% 75%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 2h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:46 → COS 14:48AA 1170 7h 28m 97% 66%
AmericanDetails → SAN 09:50 → DFW 15:10AA 2687 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 44m 96% 63%
AmericanDetails → SAN 07:15 → DFW 12:30AA 373 3h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:36 → COS 16:38AA 790 8h 23m 96% 60%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAN 11:22 → DFW 16:34AA 2034 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 6h 12m 70% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON