tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 955 Southwest SAN 10:32 GEG 13:31 14% 3% 0.7% no record
AS 566 Alaska Flight history → SAN 20:22 GEG 23:07 18% 5% 0.8% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 3h 45m Portland PDX 17:28 → GEG 18:38AS 452 7h 34m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177 2h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 22m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:20DL 1117 2h 10m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 5h 57m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:06 → SEA 14:15DL 2508 3h 44m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 8h 09m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 2h 59m Denver DEN 19:05 → GEG 20:30UA 778 7h 57m 96% 77%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 06:50 → PDX 09:29AS 399 1h 01m Portland PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250 4h 55m 90% 77%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:58 → PDX 20:31AS 1392 1h 19m Portland PDX 21:50 → GEG 22:59AS 1356 5h 01m 89% 77%
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 1h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 21:10 → GEG 21:52DL 1466 4h 51m 89% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SAN 14:03 → PDX 16:36AS 1402 52m Portland PDX 17:28 → GEG 18:38AS 452 4h 35m 69% 59%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 48m Portland PDX 14:31 → GEG 15:41AS 1482 4h 37m 65% 56%
DeltaDetails → SAN 16:11 → SEA 19:05DL 2572 48m Seattle SEA 19:53 → GEG 21:02DL 1752 4h 51m 63% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON