tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 1320 at 12:57, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1320 Southwest SAN 12:57 SAT 17:50 20% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → LAX 07:35DL 3743 · flown by SkyWest 2h 20m Los Angeles LAX 09:55 → SAT 14:53DL 2568 6h 38m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SAN 07:57 → IAH 13:26UA 2760 1h 20m Houston IAH 14:46 → SAT 15:53UA 2030 5h 56m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 16:59 → SAT 18:29DL 1465 10h 14m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 27m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 6h 10m 93% 79%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:00 → IAD 16:08UA 1071 1h 37m Dulles IAD 17:45 → SAT 20:22UA 1869 10h 22m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:15 → ORD 12:47AA 518 2h 15m Chicago ORD 15:02 → SAT 18:02AA 4176 · flown by Envoy 9h 47m 97% 74%
AmericanDetails → SAN 09:50 → DFW 15:10AA 2687 2h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:32 → SAT 18:44AA 3899 · flown by Envoy 6h 54m 96% 72%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:11 → IAH 15:39UA 1980 3h 10m Houston IAH 18:49 → SAT 19:57UA 1477 7h 46m 95% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 51m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → SAT 16:05DL 2009 7h 50m 70% 56%
AmericanDetails → SAN 11:22 → DFW 16:34AA 2034 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:32 → SAT 18:44AA 3899 · flown by Envoy 5h 22m 72% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON