tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2321 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 09:16 TUL 14:30 37% 10% 0.0% 63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → TUL 16:44DL 2837 8h 29m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 23m Denver DEN 13:40 → TUL 16:29UA 5311 · flown by SkyWest 5h 44m 93% 78%
UnitedDetails → SAN 16:07 → DEN 19:39UA 682 1h 16m Denver DEN 20:55 → TUL 23:47UA 4712 · flown by SkyWest 5h 40m 89% 76%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:36 → ATL 18:11DL 725 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → TUL 22:18DL 2043 9h 42m 99% 75%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:50 → CLT 14:49AA 1651 3h 11m Charlotte CLT 18:00 → TUL 19:37AA 2662 10h 47m 98% 71%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 1h 29m Denver DEN 17:35 → TUL 20:25UA 1937 5h 52m 88% 65%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:35 → ORD 16:52UA 1710 3h 33m Chicago ORD 20:25 → TUL 22:17UA 2351 9h 42m 96% 63%
AmericanDetails → SAN 07:15 → DFW 12:30AA 373 3h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:19 → TUL 17:38AA 2830 8h 23m 98% 62%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → TUL 20:40DL 3825 · flown by SkyWest 5h 25m 72% 62%
AmericanDetails → SAN 12:20 → DFW 17:40AA 1467 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → TUL 19:48AA 531 5h 28m 65% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON