tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3699 Southwest SAT 06:46 BNA 09:08 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 346 Southwest SAT 14:46 BNA 17:13 11% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAT 14:26 → MSP 17:16DL 2528 3h 04m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → BNA 22:26DL 1144 8h 00m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 10m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:11 → DTW 09:16DL 2497 3h 09m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 7h 52m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → SAT 05:30 → IAH 06:37UA 469 1h 03m Houston IAH 07:40 → BNA 09:47UA 2174 4h 17m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAT 15:04 → DTW 19:09DL 2458 1h 50m Detroit DTW 20:59 → BNA 21:35DL 2126 6h 31m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:30 → SLC 08:21DL 2592 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 09:25 → BNA 13:46DL 2214 7h 16m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAT 07:00 → IAD 11:27UA 471 1h 26m Dulles IAD 12:53 → BNA 13:52UA 213 6h 52m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 7h 23m 99% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON