tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2974 Southwest SAT 06:56 BWI 11:30 3% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 3702 Southwest SAT 14:36 BWI 19:20 11% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of San Antonio). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:05 → MSP 08:59DL 2717 1h 35m Minneapolis MSP 10:34 → BWI 14:03DL 2357 6h 58m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 14:26 → MSP 17:16DL 2528 2h 29m Minneapolis MSP 19:45 → BWI 23:13DL 2918 7h 47m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → BWI 13:07DL 2711 6h 47m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:11 → DTW 09:16DL 2497 59m Detroit DTW 10:15 → BWI 11:47DL 1546 5h 36m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → BWI 15:49DL 2799 8h 09m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAT 07:43 → IAH 08:50UA 410 3h 10m Houston IAH 12:00 → BWI 16:14UA 1720 7h 31m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAT 06:40 → ORD 09:38UA 1332 1h 13m Chicago ORD 10:51 → BWI 13:57UA 2653 6h 17m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → SAT 08:52 → DEN 10:10UA 2853 3h 59m Denver DEN 14:09 → BWI 19:30UA 363 9h 38m 98% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON