Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2717 Delta Flight history →	SAT 06:05	MSP 08:59	5%	3%	0.6%	95%
DL 2528 Delta Flight history →	SAT 14:26	MSP 17:16	13%	5%	0.6%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAT 06:30 → SLC 08:21DL 2592	2h 49m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	8h 10m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 30m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SAT 05:11 → DTW 09:16DL 2497	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:11DL 2697	8h 00m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SAT 07:40 → ATL 11:06DL 998	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	8h 27m	99%	85%
United Details →	SAT 08:52 → DEN 10:10UA 2853	3h 40m Denver	DEN 13:50 → MSP 16:54UA 732	8h 02m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	SAT 17:00 → ATL 20:40DL 2009	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 39m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAT 12:30 → SLC 14:30DL 930	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → MSP 20:58DL 2935	8h 28m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SAT 10:38 → ATL 14:05DL 1676	3h 33m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	8h 37m	99%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SAT 16:47 → DFW 17:59AA 1961	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:51 → MSP 21:21AA 2806	4h 34m	64%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON