Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2592 Delta Flight history → SAT 06:30 SLC 08:21 4% 3% 0.4% 95%
DL 930 Delta Flight history → SAT 12:30 SLC 14:30 10% 4% 0.4% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind San Antonio). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SAT 06:05 → MSP 08:59DL 2717 3h 30m Minneapolis MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 9h 14m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SAT 16:35 → DEN 18:08UA 2479 2h 57m Denver DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest 7h 09m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 07:19 → LAX 08:20DL 2534 3h 15m Los Angeles LAX 11:35 → SLC 14:27DL 1194 8h 08m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 7h 50m 97% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAT 08:52 → DEN 10:10UA 2853 3h 40m Denver DEN 13:50 → SLC 15:23UA 1840 7h 31m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:40 → ATL 10:07DL 1066 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 10m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → SAT 07:40 → ATL 11:06DL 998 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423 9h 11m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → SAT 15:04 → DTW 19:09DL 2458 1h 11m Detroit DTW 20:20 → SLC 22:15DL 2117 8h 11m 98% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAT 16:47 → DFW 17:59AA 1961 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:48 → SLC 20:34AA 558 4h 47m 57% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON