tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: WN 3737 at 07:57 is the safest bet, 4% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 15%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3737 Southwest SAV 07:57 BWI 09:50 4% 1% 0.7% no record
WN 1883 Southwest SAV 17:42 BWI 19:35 15% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 07:00 → ATL 08:13DL 1702 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → BWI 13:07DL 2711 6h 07m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → BWI 15:49DL 2799 5h 46m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 08:47 → BWI 10:39DL 1592 4h 39m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:22 → DTW 13:30DL 1119 1h 39m Detroit DTW 15:09 → BWI 16:45DL 2480 5h 23m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → BWI 19:45DL 2928 7h 08m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:53 → ATL 17:04DL 1067 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → BWI 21:26DL 1257 5h 33m 94% 74%
UnitedDetails → SAV 15:40 → IAH 17:12UA 6185 · flown by Mesa 1h 15m Houston IAH 18:27 → BWI 22:41UA 1830 7h 01m 84% 68%
AmericanDetails → SAV 15:00 → CLT 16:30AA 5914 · flown by Piedmont 3h 29m Charlotte CLT 19:59 → BWI 21:29AA 1318 6h 29m 100% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:53 → ATL 17:04DL 1067 46m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → BWI 19:45DL 2928 3h 52m 72% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON