Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Dallas on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 4176 Southwest	SAV 11:52	DAL 13:50	12%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 08:30 → ATL 09:41DL 686	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 12:47 → DAL 13:50DL 512	6h 20m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 08:10 → DAL 09:16DL 441	4h 16m	91%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	6h 17m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3014	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	5h 54m	95%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON